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Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical

Market cap $1.57B 101.9M shares (10-Q, Oct 29, 2026) × $15.43 close Nov 6, 2026

Most recent annual filing: 2026-02-15

Catalyst timeline

2 trackedQuarter catalyst calendar →
  1. UX016 Ph1 start2H 2026UX016 Ph1 start, 2H 2026, routine
  2. DTX301 OTC topline1H 2027DTX301 OTC topline, 1H 2027, major

Bar width shows how precise the guidance is — a pin is a stated date, a wide band a six-month window. Deeper blue means more of the thesis rides on the event; it is not a view on the stock.

Pipeline (10 active programs)

Discontinued (2)

Capital (as filed)

Cash
$150M cash and cash equivalents · Sep 30, 2026 (10-Q)
Short-term investments
$116M Sep 30, 2026
Long-term investments
$135M Sep 30, 2026
Operating cash flow
−$43.0M quarter Jun 30, 2026 → Sep 30, 2026, year-to-date difference (10-Q)
As stated in coverage
$401M cash per the update of Nov 4, 2026 — the company's own words as read there, not the filed figure

Cash, investments and operating cash flow are the company's own XBRL facts as filed with the SEC, each shown with its period end and tag. As-stated figures come from the company's own words as read in Biotech Distilled coverage, dated, and routinely count securities and planned financing that a balance sheet does not. Offering rows are the SEC cover pages as filed. Not investment advice. Figures as of Nov 7, 2026.

Biotech Distilled coverage (15)

Articles open on Substack. Some are subscriber-only; those marked ★ Distilled Pro are for Distilled Pro members.

Verdict history (15 calls)

Every verdict Biotech Distilled has published on Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical, oldest first — the full history, never a selection. How calls are scored: the track record.

  1. Watch Ultragenyx Pharmaceuticals (RARE): Scientific Deep Dive for Lead and Pipeline Products Cash burn is too high relative to immediate revenue growth and CMC/manufacturing risk at Bedford is too elevated to justify a long position ahead of the gene therapy PDUFA dates.
  2. Watch Update: Ultragenyx (RARE) - Q4 2025 Report Layoffs bridge the dilution gap but margin for error is zero; another CMC-related CRL would be fatal to the thesis, so waiting for Q3 PDUFA clearances remains the right posture.
  3. Watch UPDATE: Ultragenyx (RARE) - 10-K Autopsy: Suing the CDMO and Mortgaging the Crown Jewels The Catalent lawsuit and Bedford facility history make manufacturing risk too glaring to take a long position ahead of FDA facility inspections, despite the cash runway being secured.
  4. Watch UPDATE: Ultragenyx (RARE) - A Date With Destiny DTX401 clinical risk dropped with no AdCom, but manufacturing risk remains Code Red due to active Catalent litigation and prior UX111 CRL; keep powder dry until facility inspection updates.
  5. Watch UPDATE: Ultragenyx (RARE) - The Science Delivers (Again), But the Factory Remains the Boss DTX301 Phase 3 win raises sum-of-parts value but CMC bottleneck is unchanged; remain on sidelines until Bedford is cleared.
  6. Watch UPDATE: Ultragenyx (RARE) - Both PDUFA Dates Are Now on the Calendar Both PDUFA dates are now set but manufacturing risk is unchanged at Code Red; the 13% run-up since March eats into margin of safety with no new manufacturing data to underwrite it.
  7. Watch UPDATE: Ultragenyx (RARE) - The Angelman Safety Signal Just Got Quieter, and the Cash Got Lighter GTX-102 safety risk improved meaningfully with 3+ years of clean LTE data, but manufacturing risk stays Code Red and the gating event remains the August 23 DTX401 PDUFA.
  8. Watch speculative UPDATE: Ultragenyx (RARE) - The Burn Rate Just Halved, and the Angelman Clock Got a Month Halved burn rate, record revenue, and Aspire data narrowed to September/October shift the asymmetry enough to move off pure sidelines, but Bedford inspection remains the binary and pre-PDUFA weakness may offer a better entry.
  9. Speculative buy speculative UPDATE: Ultragenyx (RARE) - One of My Three Sell Triggers Just Got Defused Esjay Dojolvi settlement pushes generic entry to 2033, removing one of three sell triggers and improving the commercial base, but manufacturing risk stays Code Red twelve days from the PDUFA.
  10. Buy core UPDATE: Ultragenyx (RARE) - Bedford Passed FDA approved GENGLYCOS manufactured entirely at Bedford, retiring the existential manufacturing risk; with UX111 PDUFA and Angelman readout still ahead, asymmetry has flipped to building a position.
  11. Hold UPDATE: Ultragenyx (RARE) - The Crown Jewel Broke Phase 3 Aspire missed primary and all secondary endpoints with zero separation across five domains, eliminating the Angelman rerating; the commercial base and approved gene therapy remain intact but the premium valuation case evaporated.
  12. Buy core UPDATE: Ultragenyx (RARE) - The Last Card Flipped, and It Was Better Than the Deck Promised FAYUVI received full standard approval (not accelerated) with a 23.5-point cognitive separation at p<0.0001, Bedford cleared twice in 30 days, two PRVs in hand, and the stock is 45% below pre-Aspire levels — the floor got taller while the price dropped.
  13. Buy core UPDATE: Ultragenyx (RARE) - The Voucher Cashed at Double GENGLYCOS PRV sold for $210M (~$168M net after NIH cut), roughly double the modeled ~$100M, closing the dilution gap with non-dilutive cash; second voucher still available.
  14. Buy core UPDATE: Ultragenyx (RARE) - Two Vouchers, One Shrug Second PRV sold for $203M, bringing combined net voucher proceeds to ~$370M — nearly double the modeled amount — without diluting shareholders; balance sheet is now a cushion, not a countdown.
  15. Buy core UPDATE: Ultragenyx (RARE) - The Mall Closes a Wing 20% layoff, wind-down of apazunersen and UX701, and R&D cut to under $350M transforms RARE into a commercial company with two de-risked gene therapy launches and ~$750M pro forma cash representing nearly 45% of market cap.

Every verdict Biotech Distilled has published on this company, in order, with the post it came from — the full history, never a selection. Position figures are the same ones shown on /track-record, computed by the same method. Editorial opinion, not investment advice.

Timing, in the company's words (3 quotes from 2 filings)

Sentences quoted verbatim from the company's SEC filings, newest filing first. Each sits under the filing it appeared in; the "matched to" tag names the calendar row it was read for.

Timing sentences quoted from the company's own SEC filings, each under the filing it appeared in. The 'matched to' tag is the calendar row the sentence was read for; the filing is the source. Not investment advice.

Filings & releases (36)

SEC filings from EDGAR and press releases captured from the company's investor-relations site, newest first. Releases captured from May 6, 2026; filings from March 2026. Summaries come from the BD update that read the document; "BD extracted" counts point at the pipeline table above. All companies →

13 more filings (13G holder notices, S-8, proxy material, SEC correspondence …)